Before we get into our Week 9 CFL betting picks, let’s recap last week.
We played our first teaser of the CFL season on our Week 8 CFL betting picks and came up roses, improving to 9-4 on the CFL season for +4.6 units.
We used a 6.5-point teaser at Pinnacle (the best sportsbook for that bet, since you can get -110 odds) to move the Eskimos spread down under a field goal and the Blue Bombers spread up over 10 points.
As it turned out, we didn’t need to tease either line, as both the Eskimos and Blue Bombers covered the spread. But Edmonton was winning by just 4 points in the late going against Montreal before an interception return locked up the victory. By teasing the Eskimos down to -0.5, we would have been fine without that lucky TD.
Edmonton did not look great last week, but the Alouettes are still a mess as well. We’ll remember both of those results going into this week’s action, along with the Redblacks coming off a bye, the Lions scoring late to edge the Tiger-Cats, and the Roughriders keeping things close but falling at home to the Stampeders.
Week 9 CFL Betting Picks
Alouettes at Redblacks (Friday, 7 p.m. eastern)
Ottawa had a bye last week after gutting out a 23-20 win over Edmonton in their previous game. Redblacks QB Henry Burris has a firecracker up his ass these days after going on a tirade at halftime against Edmonton about how he is disrespected, and we can expect a motivated Ottawa pivot in this game.
We wrote last week about how the Als are an unhappy bunch and that things could get ugly. There’s just as much potential for that this week, especially after a tough loss last week in Edmonton and the possibility of being without Duron Carter this week.
There’s no reason for us to expect the Alouettes to win this game, but we don’t love the high number on Ottawa either. This looks like another great teaser option as we can move the Redblacks under a field goal (-2.5 on the point spread) by including them on a 6.5 point teaser. Now we just need to find another team to tease them with.
Stampeders at Lions (Friday, 10 p.m. eastern)
B.C. blew a 20-point lead last week against the Tiger-Cats, allowing Hamilton to tie the game before the Lions won it on a late touchdown by Emmanuel Arcenaux.
There’s two ways to look at B.C.’s performance, but we’re taking the positive approach. The Lions were simply dominant in the first half, building a 32-12 advantage over a Hamilton squad that was buoyed by the return of Zach Callaros. Then B.C. might have got a little complacent in allowing the Ticats back in the game, but we really like the moxie the Lions showed in driving for that winning TD.
Calgary hasn’t lost since Week 1 (in BC) but we can’t pretend they’re blowing anybody’s doors off. They were outgained in their 19-10 win in Saskatchewan last week and they’ve been outgained through the air in 5 of their 7 games.
The Lions deserve more respect than this short line is giving them. We’ll grab B.C. -2.5 -115 at Sports Interaction.
Eskimos at Argonauts (Saturday, 4 p.m. eastern)
It’s easy to be down on the Argonauts after they got wiped out at home last week by Winnipeg. The Toronto offence turned the ball over 6 times, including 5 interceptions by QB Logan Kilgore.
However, we can’t forget that Kilgore also led the Argos to a win in Ottawa the previous week. He still threw for more than 300 yards against the Bombers, he just didn’t take care of the ball well. We expect the Argos to focus on ball protection this week in practice and to be much better on offence this weekend.
Edmonton is still struggling despite a win last week over Montreal. If it weren’t for their late interception return for a TD, the Eskimos would have won by just 4 points. Their other victories this year have been by 3 points and 4 points. This is not a confident team that should be laying points on the road, and we certainly don’t expect them to win comfortably.
Last week, we teased the Argos’ opponent (Winnipeg) up to +10.5, challenging the Argos to blow them out. This time, we’ll tease the Argos up over a touchdown instead because we don’t think Edmonton can win by margin. Toronto +9 will be the other leg of our two-game, 6.5-point teaser, which we’ll place again at Pinnacle at -110 odds.
WEEK 9 CFL BETTING PICKS RECAP
To recap, we’re on two bets this week: a point spread CFL pick and a teaser.
Our point spread pick is the B.C. Lions -2.5, and we made that bet at -115 odds at Sports Interaction.
Our teaser is on the Redblacks -2.5 and Argos +9. In case you’re not familiar with teasers, they allow you to move the point spread in your favour, but you need to select multiple outcomes. In order to win this bet, we need both the Redblacks and Argos to cover those adjusted spreads.
Here’s what the teaser looks like:
Again, Pinnacle is the best sportsbook for 2-game, 6.5-point CFL teasers because you can get them at -110 odds. Other sportsbooks offer -120 odds or worse on the same bet.
Good luck, and see you next week!