CFL Betting Picks For Week 7

We carry plenty of momentum into our Week 7 CFL betting picks after sweeping our two bets last week to improve to 7-3 (70%) on the season for +3.7 units.

There are much more fun things to do than bet Unders in CFL football, but it paid off for us as the Bombers/Eskimos and Roughriders/Alouettes both went under the total.

Those were the first two games of a really interesting Week 6 in the CFL, highlighted by a pair of 10-point road underdogs winning straight up (Winnipeg and Toronto).

Also, we noted this last week, but it’s worth mentioning again: we recently published an article about the key numbers in CFL betting, and how they differ from the NFL.

If you bet on football regularly, you’ll find it interesting. It may actually make you think twice about taking an underdog +4.5 instead of +5, or save you from buying points if you want to bet the favourite but they’re -7.5 points.

The graph below will give you a glimpse at what we’re talking about.

CFL Margin of Victory

Now let’s get into our Week 7 CFL betting picks.

(Note: I’m on vacation this week, but wanted to get this post up in decent time so I’ve just posted picks for the first 2 games. I may add more picks later.)

Week 7 CFL Betting Lines at Pinnacle

CFL Week 7 lines

Week 7 CFL Betting Picks

Tiger-Cats at Blue Bombers (Wednesday, 8:30 p.m. eastern)

Both teams come into this game off victories over the defending Grey Cup champion Eskimos, but they’re in two different psychological spots.

Hamilton should be well-prepared, having not played since overcoming a 25-point deficit to beat the Eskimos in Edmonton in Week 5. (We remember that one because we were on the Esks -4.)

And there’s finally reason for optimism in Hamilton again as star QB Zach Collaros is close to returning to the lineup and his replacement, Jeremiah Masoli, set a CFL record with 23 straight completions against Edmonton.

Winnipeg probably feels good after their win over Edmonton with Matt Nichols sparking the offence, but we worry they might feel a little too good. We saw the letdown Saskatchewan suffered a week after beating Ottawa, and we could see the same thing in store for the Bombers. Winnipeg is also thin at receiver with Weston Dressler and Darvin Adams both knocked out of the lineup.

Add in the fact that this is a revenge game for the Ticats, who lost 28-24 at home to the Bombers in Week 3, and all signs point to Hamilton here. We recommend taking the Tiger-Cats -2.5, which we did at -110 odds at BetOnline.

(If you don’t want to bet at a site that converts your deposits to American currency, Canadian sportsbook Sports Interaction was offering -2.5 -115 as of Monday night.)

 

Lions at Alouettes (Thursday, 7 p.m. eastern)

B.C. nearly got to 4-1 last week, carrying a 15-point lead over the Stampeders into the fourth quarter before falling apart and losing in OT.

The Lions are banged up on defence and no doubt smarting from last week’s loss. That makes us believe we’ll see a very focused B.C. team on the field Thursday night in Montreal.

The Als came up big Friday on Ben Cahoon night, when we thought having to play their second game in four days might hurt them. Now, this will be their third game in 11 days, and it could really catch up with them now.

B.C. has outgained its opponent in yards in 4 of its 5 games, with the exception coming last week in Calgary (when they were -2 in yards). The Alouettes were approximately -180 in yards for/against before last week’s rout of an emotionally flat Saskatchewan team. There’s no question in our mind that B.C. is the stronger team.

The cross-country travel hasn’t been an issue for BC in the past, with the Lions going 24-9 against the spread in their last 33 versus Montreal. We expect to see another BC cover this week. Give us the Lions -2.5 -115 at Sports Interaction.