After a hotly-contested four games against the Atlanta Braves, the Blue Jays travel to Baltimore to visit one of their fiercest rivals in the Orioles.
These teams flat out don’t like each other, and the rivalry got a new chapter last fall when the Jays beat Baltimore in the wild card game on an extra-inning walkoff homer by Edwin Encarnacion. It should be a great weekend of baseball at Camden Yards, starting with tonight’s opener.
Here’s a look at tonight’s betting odds for the Blue Jays/Orioles clash, along with our betting pick.
Blue Jays vs Orioles Betting Odds At Pinnacle
The Blue Jays opened as a +112 underdog Thursday at Pinnacle, but the line has slowly trickled down since, and the Jays were +103 on the moneyline as of noon Friday. The Over/Under has gone up half a run from the opener of 8.5 runs to the key number of 9, with juice on the Over. If you want to take the Blue Jays +1.5 runs, which will allow you to win a bet on Toronto even if the Jays lose by 1 run, you’ll have to lay -188 odds.
(For updated odds, visit our Live Odds page.)
Blue Jays vs. Orioles Betting Pick
Normally, a pitching matchup of Aaron Sanchez versus Chris Tillman would suggest a pitcher’s duel at Camden Yards tonight. But both hurlers have endured difficult starts to the year and aren’t on top of their game coming into this one.
— Blue Jays (@BlueJays) May 14, 2017
Sanchez has had a frustrating 2017, limited to four starts because of a recurring blister injury. He was sharp in his last outing, holding the Mariners to a run on 5 hits in 5 innings, but Sanchez’s strikeout-to-walk ratio is an unimpressive 2:1 and he’s benefited from a low BABIP (batting average on balls in play against) of .250. Giving up nearly 1.5 homers per 9 innings is not a recipe for success against the Baltimore sluggers, and we can’t ignore Sanchez’s FIP of 4.78 and xFIP of 4.41.
We’re in the 5th, and this is a pitchers’ duel. 4 Ks from Chris Tillman and we’re still tied at 1. pic.twitter.com/I8BfyOglBH
— Baltimore Orioles (@Orioles) May 14, 2017
Tillman is making just his third start of the season after missing the first month due to a shoulder injury. He’s been pulled around the 60-pitch mark in his two starts so far, working 5 innings in his debut and then getting the hook after 4.1 innings in his last start in Kansas City. Tillman allowed eight hits and three earned runs in that last start, and walks have been a problem for him so far (five walks in 9.1 innings this year, compared to eight strikeouts). He’s also struggled in his career versus the Blue Jays (5-10, 5.44 lifetime ERA), and the Baltimore bullpen is worn out behind him.
We missed the best of this Over/Under number as the total increased half a run. But with the strong potential of one starter (or both) blowing up tonight, we still think there’s value in the Over 9.
Pick: Over 9 -116 (Bet this game at Pinnacle)