The free CFL betting picks took a bit of a hit in Week 15 as we went 1-3. We looked well on our way to at least a 2-2 week before the Tiger-Cats, who we had at +3, blew a 14-point fourth quarter lead and ended up losing by 8 in overtime.
The good news is that we’re still a profitable 18-15 against the number this year in the CFL, and a good performance by these Week 16 CFL betting picks can get us back on track.
Here’s a look at this week’s CFL betting lines, followed by breakdowns for every game on the board – including a Thanksgiving Monday matinee. Enjoy your turkey and see you back here next week.
Week 16 CFL Betting Lines
- Friday, Oct. 6: Tiger-Cats at Blue Bombers (-13, O/U 57.5)
- Saturday, Oct. 7: Roughriders at Argonauts (-1.5, 52)
- Saturday, Oct. 7: Redblacks at Lions (-4.5, 51.5)
- Monday, Oct. 9: Eskimos at Alouettes (+7, 52)
Week 16 CFL Betting Picks
Tiger-Cats at Blue Bombers Betting Pick
This is a tough situational spot for both teams. Hamilton is coming off a soul-crushing loss last week to Toronto, quite possibly the death blow to the Ticats’ playoff hopes after they’d fought back into the turtle race that is the East Division standings. For Winnipeg, facing the 3-10 Cats is a potential letdown spot following a statement victory last week in Edmonton.
The Blue Bombers have won the last 3 meetings in this series by a combined total of 57 points, including a 39-12 victory earlier this year in Hamilton. And the Bombers’ defence is playing better, allowing 28 combined points over their past 2 games and holding opponents under 30 points in 5 of their last 7.
Hamilton’s offence has woken up a bit under June Jones, putting up 35 points last week against the Argos. Defensively, however, the Cats are slipping a bit. And when your playoff hopes are over, defence is usually the area where we see teams let up first.
Given the uncertain mental state of both teams, we’re going to pass on this game. But if you absolutely want to bet it, either the Blue Bombers Team Total Over 36 or the full game Over 57.5 are the directions we’d be looking.
Roughriders at Argonauts Betting Pick
After firing on all cylinders early in the season, the Roughriders offence is cooling off. They needed a fourth-quarter rally to get past Ottawa 18-17 last week, and that came on the heels of a 15-9 loss at home to Calgary in Week 14. Saskatchewan has been held to 28 points or less in 4 straight games after putting up 38 or more in 3 straight and 4 of 5.
Toronto, on the other hand, is putting up points better than it has all year. A lot of that has to do with the return of Ricky Ray to the lineup, but the Argos have still averaged more than 35 points over their last 3 outings.
We don’t like the spot for Saskatchewan here, playing its second straight game out East, and the Argos are playing well.
Pick: Argos -1.5 -110
RedBlacks at Lions Betting Pick
It’s getting close to must-win time for the Lions, and they’re coming off a bye week to boot. But it’s hard to back a B.C. team that has lost 5 of its last 6, with that only victory coming against the hapless Alouettes.
Ottawa should also bring some urgency to this game, following a loss last week that dropped them 5 points behind the Argos for first place in the East. The RedBlacks offense has looked lost the last few weeks with third-string QB Ryan Lindley at the controls, so it’s also pretty good news for Ottawa that Trevor Harris is expected to be back under center for this one.
The one constant for Ottawa during this up and down season has been the play of its defence. The RedBlacks haven’t allowed 30 points to an opponent in any of their last 8 games, and they should once again keep Ottawa in the game against a B.C. attack that has been firing a lot of blanks of late (24 points or less in 5 of its last 6).
Pick: B.C. Lions Team Total Under 28 -110
Eskimos at Alouettes Betting Pick
Ugh, what a shame that this is going to be the game we’re subjected to during Thanksgiving dinner on Monday. You may want to take an Antacid or two before watching these two offences take the field, the way they’ve been going lately.
Edmonton hasn’t scored more than 26 points in its last 4 games, and has been held to 27 or less in 6 of its last 7. And Montreal’s point production recently hasn’t even made its way out of the teens, failing to score 20 in 5 straight. That’s almost impossible to do in the CFL.
If the Alouettes have any pride left at all, they should bring a much better effort defensively after allowing 59 points to the Stampeders last week in Calgary. But we’re talking about an Als team that has lost 5 straight games by 14+ points. If they were going to show some pride, you’d think they would have already.
It’s also impossible to back Edmonton right now as the Eskimos have lost 6 straight, most of them lopsided as well.
The lean here is the Under 52.5, but that total actually seems suspiciously high given the struggles of these two offences lately. We’re going to pass on this game as well.